Today is the day that we should have had an election of course and no doubting the papers would have been telling us exactly who to vote for.
Perhaps one could have had a undue influence.According to political betting,the Observer's decision not to publish a poll on the 29th Sept showing the Tories trailing by 13 points
The report continues
But something happened at the Observer four days earlier to make them think twice about publishing it. Instead they commissioned a second survey from Ipsos-Mori, this time a phone poll, which showed a 7 point Labour lead - the same as a BPIX survey in the Mail on Sunday.
This had a remarkable affect on the mood in Blackpool. Somehow being seven points adrift felt manageable in a way that a 13% deficit would not have. And although you should only compare surveys from the same firm there was little doubt that the polls published that Sunday morning looked slightly less daunting as delegates enjoyed the Blackpool sunshine
So did the Observer's decision change the course of history.Of that, we shall never know
No comments:
Post a Comment