Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Friday, June 05, 2009

12 good points on web economics

A must read post from Digital journalism lecturer Paul Bradshaw who looks at the consequences of how the web has changed news economics.

There are 12 really good points but perhaps this is the most poignant one

Sometimes people need reminding of the basic laws of supply and demand. From a limited availability of journalism to more than you can ever read, any attempt to ’sell content’ must come up against this basic problem.

Saturday, March 07, 2009

Is this the problem for the media-oversupply

I'm no economist, but I think the problem comes down to this: The Internet is a single, efficient market governed by the laws of supply and demand*. Because there's surplus ad inventory online — particularly low-grade inventory — prices are falling. But what if the surplus inventory is largely the result of a glut of duplicative content? Would the problem go away if news organizations simply stopped doing about half of what they do and focused on the stuff nobody else is producing?


Eric Ulken

Interesting concept probably technically correct but the big problem-how to you control the oversupply.

The only way would be to put up barriers of entry to the medium which in essence would be to charge a lot more for internet use.

Now who is going to be the first to do that I wonder?

Monday, January 26, 2009

Maybe Jarvis has a point

I don't believe that Jeff Jarvis is behind my reasoning for Britain or for that matter America putting public funding into journalism.

But he does make a good argument of where the money should go in the digital economy over at Buzz machine.

broadband and technology development. An investment there will do more for the future of news than any dollar, euro, or pound given to keep presses rolling.
he says and maybe this in all his reasoning is the most important reason why

Advertisers will have no excuse but to go online, when most everyone is there and when it can serve rich media beyond the banner.


Now far by me to disagree with Jarvis,in fact his digital solution may be the ideal but it needs to be backed by monies that direct the technology to all and not just the affluent community.Otherwise there is a danger in all this of creating a digital divide.

Better though than giving 18 year olds free subscriptions

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Funding the media-the cross subsidization model

The network’s genome carries the “free” nucleotide. As in both freedom and free goods and services. Like it or not, its publicly funded origins (universities and the Pentagon) led to the emergence of widely adopted services such as search engines or Wikipedia. In turn, these have sealed the fate of the paid-for model as the dominant one. Right. I intentionally emphasize dominant. Because like everywhere else, hybrid forms are likely to emerge


That is Frédéric Filloux talking about how to acertain extent the media has shot itself in the foot by making the internet to all intent and purposes free

Consequently the fully paid up model no longer works online unless you are selling specific and specialised information.

However in Filloux's mind there may be exceptions in the form of a cross fertilisation between the paid for and the free

The online magazine Slate came up with an interesting idea: charging people. In fact, a small fraction of them. Introducing another flavor of the hybrid model: a tiny proportion of users paying a fee that will subsidize the vast majority of non-paid ones
and then there is China where

the software industry has been working that way for long: 80% is bootlegged versus 20% generating license fees, but the market is so huge that even a tiny monetized slice is sufficient to insure a sizable revenue stream for software makers

Crowdfunding the answer?

Can anything save the journalism business?

One buzz word that seems to be going around is crowdfunding and it all stems from an aarticle written by Mark Glazer over at Media Shift.

So what is Crowdfunding?

Basically it is creating a link bewteen the journalist and what people percieve is content wiorth paying for.

Over at Spot.us the concept is very simple.

1.Anyone can come up with a "Tip" or story idea they'd like to see covered. People can "pledge" money toward that story.

2. Freelance journalists can sign up to cover those story ideas or pitch their own stories, attaching a cost to writing the story.

3. Once a story has a journalist attached to it, people can donate money to help fund it (but no one can give more than 20% of the total cost of the story).

4. When the story has full funding, the journalist writes the story, and a fact-checker is paid 10% of the funding to edit and check it.

5. Before the story is posted, news organizations have a chance to get exclusive rights to the story by paying the full cost, which is given back to the donors. Otherwise, the story is posted online and any news organization can run the story for free.


Will it work?

Well it is early days at the moment.The project has been funded by the Knight's Trust and is run by journalist David Cohn.

It certainly has potential for the local interest or specialist journalism.

But I wonder with the link between funder and journalist very direct,is their a ethical content issue here.

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

The most savage job cuts so far.

The bad news continues to roll in from the media with the Independent group announcing that 90 jobs are to go.

Independent News and Media says that it will save around £10m as it cuts a quarter of its editorial staff from the Independent and the Independent on Sunday.

Speaking to the FT,Simon Kelner its managing director said that

“If we are to safeguard the future of the papers, there is no other way to do it.”


The paper is estimated to be losing around £10m a year and its last circulation figures suggest that it is struggling more than the other qualities.

The Company employs a total of 430 staff in London

Sunday, November 16, 2008

5 years for the industry to recover?

It has not been the best of weeks for the media in terms of job losses but James Robinson writing in this morningsObserver hold sout some hope for the Industry,although it is going to take some time to ride out the storm.

He quotes Paul Zwillenberg, a partner at management consultants OC&C.
who says

'The severity of a downturn is more exaggerated in the media sector and it is hit harder and faster than any other
and adds that in

the last recession, in the early 1990s, it took three years for media companies to return to pre-recession levels of profitability. But crucially, the industry was not facing the technological challenges presented by new competitors. This time, he says, it will take far longer to recover - up to five years


But those technological differences from last time will also work to the advantage of the industry.Crucially

the growth of online television could provide broadcasters with a financial lifeline, despite fierce competition from internet giants YouTube and MySpace.
and this aligned with big increases in broadband takeup and a report out this week which shows that we are actually watching more commercial Tv will provide

Broadcasters with the ability demonstrate that they can create platforms worth advertising on.


As with all recessions,sometimes the weakest will fall by the wayside but those strongest and willing to adapt will survive

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Economics is a profession,news is a trade

It is worth reading David Warsh's posting on Economic Principles-don't get put off by the title.

It is 25 years since the concept began as a newspaper column before graduating to a independent weekly online when the newspapers(twice) decided that it hadn't a place in their pages.

Warsh is keen to distinguish between himself and a blog

With its public broadcasting-like format on the Web – supported, that is, by a relatively small number of subscribers, who receive an early email “bulldog” edition – it now generates around $8,000 a year. That’s not much; but along with income from books and talks, it’s enough to continue indefinitely, as long as renewals hold up and the base continues to grow. There’s no way to be comprehensive, or to compete with newspapers and magazines at what they do best, but EP still manages to maintain a baseline of coverage


Most importantly its readership is growing but it's the comments directed at the newspaper and magazine industry that are most interesting.
As the newspaper business has shrunk

the implications haven’t been sufficiently examined. To cope, papers have been eliminating beats, outsourcing coverage, and, in EP’s field, relying increasingly on economists to write rotating columns


And maybe he points the finger at why the media didn't focus on the economy during those boom years

Economics is a profession; news is a trade


Whereas economics working in their field re guided purely by professional interpretations,the journalist has many other external influences working against him.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Should newspaper funding revert to charitable status

An interesting post from Geneva Overholser over at OJR.

It's the economic model for journalism and Geneva realises that business and mission don't necessarily go together.

This she says

throws a complex light on the collapse of the conventional economic model for journalism – which has consisted of trusting business with this mission so dear to our (and, we hope, the nation’s) hearts. That collapse feels no less catastrophic to those who are losing their jobs, nor to faithful news consumers who see shrinking newspapers and dumbed-down newscasts. And it’s still deeply worrisome when you think about who will have the power, guts and access to go up against big government and big business, so as to keep us informed about the nation and the world


and the consequences for the 4th estate role of the media.The views of Adlai Wertman, of USC’s Marshall School of Business are imperative for the argument

The profit model may be responsible for much of the problem: “There is a major difference between a mission-driven business and a business,” he said. Profit-seeking companies “quickly go from no social mission to no social responsibility.” The result has been, in Wertman’s opinion, a distorted notion of “what the public wants” when it comes to journalism, and a terribly inadequate news diet for a self-governing people.


So can the two be balanced? Well the solution is to look at the charity model of business where donors look for realised goals.
Will it work?

Thursday, October 09, 2008

Trust us we went to business school

The stakes are enormous in a fast-moving crisis where the traditional concern about journalists causing a run on the bank is hardly a theoretical danger. But as news organizations chase exclusives about the Wall Street meltdown, they also are grappling with a troubling question: Why didn't they see this coming?


I am sure that there is going to be a lot more on this,I have reported on the rumblings of journalists before and the abdication of their fourth estate responsibilities when it came to checking on the financial institutions on both sides of the Atlantic.

It is worth reading Howard Kurtz's piece published earlier this week in the Washington Post.He quotes PBS's David Brancaccio who says

we journalists have had a long history with accepting what the smart people hand down to us, especially on complicated stuff. . . . When I would cover these very issues about problems with regulation, problems with 'is this a disaster waiting to happen?' people would say: 'Well, young man, you don't have an MBA like I do. Trust us. We went to business school.'
"

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Will journalism survive? Journalism leaders forum tackles the question

Despite the economic turmoil surrounding the journalism profession,will good journalism survive?

Last night’s 10th Journalism leaders forum at Uclan asked the question how the media should cope with the rapidly changing environment which is the last few weeks has been made far worse by the decent into global financial meltdown.

Steve Yelvington summed up the position at least from an American perspective when he summarised the economic implications for the structure of the media. For Steve three things had changed.

Most importantly the trend of the past few years for media concerns to conglomerate and consolidate with a consequential rise in borrowings had left companies exposed to the banking crisis.This was allied to the collapse of a component part of the revenue model,that of classified advertising,especially for him that of real estate,cars and employment adverts.

Simon Reynolds from the Lancashire Evening Post giving a UK regional perspective begged to differ. He is convinced that the US model is the same in the UK :“what is happening in the industry is a need to find a new business model to sustain journalism.Like the US there has been losses of revenue but allied to this he has seen increases in revenue from digital streams.

For Steven Grey also with an American perspective,large pieces of newspaper content are now provided online and individuals are now sitting in front of a large free news stand,people are turning to the internet to find local solutions.
Newspapers need to become the provider of information of choice,”the local information utility” as he puts it.

As for the consequences for the journalism profession,The Guardian’s Kevin Anderson stressed the need for flexibility,using the use of his paper’s embracing of twitter as a example. News organisations ,according to Kevin “have not taken advantage of the new technology and still focus on the large scale broadcast model.”
Simon Reynolds believed that the greatest challenges lay in the mental state of journalists, the ability to think across a number of mediums.

Perhaps though it was UCLAN’s owner digital chair professor Jane Singer who gave hope for the assembled students.The important thing was journalism,good journalism will survive

Monday, September 22, 2008

Signs that online advertising is on the wane

One of the areas of the media that has been relatively unaffected by the slowdown in the sectroir is that of online advertising but it appears that this may no longer be the case.

This morning's FT reports that

Shudders from the credit crisis have reached the online and media industries as research shows that internet advertising is facing a slowdown after five years of breakneck growth.


and adds that

Research published on Monday by Enders, a media analyst group, pared back growth rates for the UK online advert market to 18.5 per cent for 2008 to £3.3bn, against estimates of a 28 per cent increase on 2007


However the next year will still see growth,it just will not be at the astronomical rates of the past few years

Enders estimates display adverts will grow by 9.8 per cent to £650m, and classifieds by 7.8 per cent – representing a “collapse” on last year’s equivalents of 30.5 per cent and 54 per cent respectively, said Mr Maude. In contrast, search adverts will grow by 25.4 per cent to £2bn this year, Enders forecasts, because they give a quicker and easier return on investment.

Thursday, September 11, 2008

The death of the industrial correspondent-but will they be returning soon?

I see that Kevin Maguire is bemoaning the death of the industrial correspondent.

Familiar to our screens and papers, during the 70's and 80's,the unfashionable science has made way for the rise of the environmental and showbiz correspondent.

However perhaps with the unions once again finding their teeth,the industry expert will return to the media

Maguire,hot foot from the TUC in Brighton says

So few newspapers and broadcasters these days employ Labour and Industrial Correspondents the Group which represented them - in their heyday a more influential pack than political writers in the lobby - is reduced an informal network


For him

the media no longer covers properly the reality of working life, the decline of specialist reporters in the field leaving large gaps. When I covered employment and industrial relations for the Daily Telegraph in the first half of the 1990s there must've been 30 or 40 hacks doing similar jobs across Fleet Street and the airwaves. Now I can only think of three specialists: Christine Buckley on the Times, the FT's Andrew Taylor and the superb Alan Jones on the Press Association news agency
.

Thursday, September 04, 2008

The free content conundrum-how to make it pay

One of the many themes of this blog is how to make money in a world where people are unwilling to pay for content.
Chris Anderson was reminded of a paper that was written in 2004 which looked at the changing economics of content and copyright in a digital world.

It gave 14 ways in which content would make money if it is distributed on a partially free basis:

I haven't listed them all but here are a selection.

1.Make original cheaper than copy-
If there is a transaction cost for a copy-a direct cost of copying, an inconvenience cost, or the copy is inferior to the original in some way-then the seller can set the price low enough that it is not attractive to copy.


2.Make copy more expensive than original-

3.Using physical elements along with the article such as posters,memberships

4.By selling information complements

5.the use of subscriptions

6.Making the product highly personalised

7.Through advertising,the free version being the incentive to pay for the original

Wednesday, August 06, 2008

ITV-an online strategy for the future away from Public service

Shares in ITV have taken a tumble following this morning's announcement of an interim loss of £1,54b compared to profits of £105m at the previous point.The turnaround was due mainly to the Company taking a £1.6b charge against goodwill from its balance sheet against the merger of Carlton and Granada back in 2004.Before the charge profits fell 20% year on year

Shares have fallen 10% at mid morning to 41.2p.

The results are disappointing for the company which blames the continuing fall in advertising revenue especially as operationally the Company appears to be in good shape.The major loss in revenue comes down to England's failure to qualify for Euro 2008 which cost ITV £29m.

Michael Grade is predicting further cost cutting measures which will inevitably lead to job losses.His biggest gripe though is against what he referred to as the nanny state charges of £300m which the Company take s as part of its obligations towards Oncoming terms of providing regional news coverage,terms with suppliers and commitments to regional production.

Talking on the Today programme Grade said

"A whole host of nanny state regulation, about where we put advertising minutage, how we have to treat our suppliers... the contracts we enter into with independent producers are controlled by a regulator. "This is all Alice in Wonderland, this all belongs 20 years ago. It's so out of date


One option being talked about is whether the Company should simply lose its public service broadcasting commitment


Robert Andrews meanwhile looks at another side of ITV's operations,the online site.

ITV isn't hiding behind the same excuse used by newspapers - that ad spend is migrating to the web. Sales head Rupert Howell: "The growth of the internet as an advertising medium is taking business way from direct marketing, classified and local and regional press but doesn't appear to be taking away from television. What matters is that we outgrow the growth in internet advertising - in the first half of this year, the internet grew as an advertising medium by 24 percent and we grew at 43percent so we're growing at nearly double the rate."

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Is Video on demand ever to make a profit.

The subject is discussed over at Paidcontent and their conclusions are not good.

The success of the BBC-I player,Itv.com and Channel 4 on demand show that there is a market out there.The problem is as with most things on the web people aren't willing to pay for them.

It notes the conclusions of Brand republic which said that

The dilemma facing VoD service providers is that the market is too nascent to yet be treated as a significant revenue stream in its own right.


And cites the relative failure of Channel 5 which

Last week officially rolled out Demand Five, which offers a mixture of free and paid-for shows. The broadcaster's head of strategy Kieran Clifton says the service has achieved early growth, but he expects it will take some time to gather real momentum.
and according to its head of strategy is at the moment

losing money and, effectively, the more popular it is, the more money we lose, whatever we do with advertising,' VoD is a small fraction of our audience right now and we do it because we have to give viewers what they want. It also -allows us to learn about what people want to watch and when, and what they will put up with in advertising.'


But there is an upside for recent research shows that people who download Vod are more likely to watch advertising associated with it.Media agency Starcom

identifies key areas, such as pre- and mid-roll spots, as well as sponsorship, overlays and display formats, which could work well on the platform
.

Monday, July 07, 2008

Marr's gloomy journalistic future.Who's going to pay?

To me Andrew Marr is one of the most respected journalists around at the moment and it's worth reading the comments that he has given to the Independent of which he was the former editor.

He voices his concerns about journalism to Ian Burrell this morning and its the question that has been aired on this blog many times

The thing that worries me most at the moment about the condition of journalism is, frankly, who's going to pay for the journalists and the journalism in 10 years' time? Teenagers, people in their twenties, even in their late twenties, have now got to the position where they wouldn't pay for news. They expect their news to be free, they expect it to be in a free newspaper on the underground or at the bus station or, more often, they expect it to be a free good on their laptops. My kids wouldn't dream of buying a newspaper – and we are a newspaper household."


If journalism disappears then it affects all society.His thoughts on blooging are also interesting

In the blogging world there is a vast, swirling typhoon of comment, grandly called analysis. A reporting journalist is someone who is paid to spend lots of time asking questions, reading, going back again. Anyone can produce words but you need a system which pays journalists to spend time to find stuff out."


and that is an important distinction between the ameteur and the professional.It's your time against the organisations.

His comments about political reporting are also poignant

"We've had huge numbers of stories about the extent to which Gordon Brown is depressed, gloomy, not sleeping. We have had lots of analysis of David Cameron's media strategy and style, all of which is interesting and important up to a point – but I worry how much is being slipped through in terms of policy changes

Thursday, June 05, 2008

Is the media talking us into recession?

Being old enough to remember the last recession in the early 1990's,the general feling then was that part of the problem was the media coverage which talkd the country into recession.

Downturns after all are mainly due to a lack of confidence and constant headlines about falling house prices,the end of good times,oil prices,and inflation can only help to sow the seeds of doubt in the consumers mind.

Over at the Sky news blog,coverage of the recession is defended.

We are trying to reflect the reality out there. If the economic news is bad, we can't pretend it is good.
And we would seem to be out of touch with you if we didn't highlight the problems you are facing.
As with the Northern Rock story, we haven't created the concern but we are reflecting it.


It's a good point and the media of course has a duty to report what is going on,but the problem is often the positio in the agenda.The Middle class papers of the Mail and the Express will often lead with the latest in the downward economic trends.

This morning the Express is leading with a story about possible fuel shortages,I wander whether this for example will mean queues at the pumps later today

Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Reader's Digest-an example of the economic future for print

Here is an interesting thought from Steve Borris.

Is the readers digest displaying the business model for news aggregation that will survive through the next few decades.

What does it do.Well quite simply it packages a mixture of stories from numerous sources,it puts them together into an easy to read pacakage and sells most of its copies through subscription.

As Steve adds

It’s old original cover contained a list of stories contained inside, allowing it to be read like a web site, from front page link to story and back again. And it knew its audience, providing a mix of serious, human interest, educational, and humorous stories. It was also upbeat, not providing stories that make readers feel uncomfortable, helpless, or negative


and is read by many people who don't pay for it thus attrcating additional advertising.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

As advertising rates fall where does this leave the media economic model?

Along came the Internet and advertisers thought that finally they could actually track how effective their spend was. They could tell how many times people were drawn to their ad (click) and what happened afterwards. But recent market evidence is showing that as economic times grow harder Web advertisers are looking more and more for proof that a Web display ad campaign will really work before they are willing to make a long-term commitment
writes Philip Stone over at Follow the media.

Once again questions can be asked about new media's ability to find a sustainable economic model and he adds

None of that is what traditional media needs to hear these days. Everyone accepts that newspapers have to be multi-platform and that means all of their digital projects have to make up the money that print is losing, so far a losing battle. If Web display advertising is slowing down, then that’s not going to help the cause any.


The cross subsidary model of the web supporting the traditional media may well be falling away and at the moment,there is little prospect of a new one taking its place.